Scenario archetypes

Origin: Lat. scenarĭum archety̆pus, , gr. ἀρχέτυπος

A technique developed by the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) to ensure a spread of future environments within a scenario set and provide effective learning for both understanding and better choosing the future. The archetypes move through a “most likely” or “official future” (alpha) to a “what could go wrong” hard times scenario (beta), then to two structurally different scenarios, at least one of which should be visionary (delta).

Spanish: Escenario

Sources and references

Glenn, Jerome C. Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 2 times
Destatte, Philippe y Philippe Durance “Les mot-clés de la prospective territoriale”cited 56 times
The Futures Group International. “Decision Modeling” , Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 10 times
Arizona education futures.- Glossary definitions of selected futures termscited 14 times
Slaughter, Richard A. “Glossary of future terms.”cited 79 times
Cornish, Edward. “Futuring: The Exploration of the Future.”cited 13 times
Petersen, John L. “Out of the Blue”cited 6 times
Coates, Joseph and Jerome C. Glenn. “Normative Forecasting.”cited 3 times
Rausch, Erwin. “Simulation and games in futuring and other uses”, Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 16 times
Barbieri Masini, Eleonora. “Why Future Studies.”cited 27 times
Gordon, Theodore J. and Jerome C. Glenn .”Integration, comparisons and frontiers of FR Methods“,Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 18 times
Malaska, Pentti and Ikka Virtanen. “Theory of futuribles.”cited 5 times
Gutierrez, Miguel Angel. “Futures studies glossary.”cited 43 times
Foresight Glossary and the Complex Systems Dynamicscited 7 times
Words more used in foresightcited 2 times
Hillmann, Karl-Heinz. “Sociology encyclopedic dictionary.”cited 12 times
Hevia Araugo, Oswaldo Ramón. “Building Scenarios.”cited 2 times
Miklos, Thomas and Ma. Elena Tello. “Foresight Planning.”cited 19 times
Ochoa Vargas, Gerardo. “Scenarios.”cited 2 times
Godet, Michel. “A Tool-Box for scenario planning”, Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 17 times

Term connections

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Sources and references

Glenn, Jerome C. Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 2 times

Destatte, Philippe y Philippe Durance “Les mot-clés de la prospective territoriale”cited 56 times

The Futures Group International. “Decision Modeling” , Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 10 times

Arizona education futures.- Glossary definitions of selected futures termscited 14 times

Slaughter, Richard A. “Glossary of future terms.”cited 79 times

Cornish, Edward. “Futuring: The Exploration of the Future.”cited 13 times

Petersen, John L. “Out of the Blue”cited 6 times

Coates, Joseph and Jerome C. Glenn. “Normative Forecasting.”cited 3 times

Rausch, Erwin. “Simulation and games in futuring and other uses”, Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 16 times

Barbieri Masini, Eleonora. “Why Future Studies.”cited 27 times

Gordon, Theodore J. and Jerome C. Glenn .”Integration, comparisons and frontiers of FR Methods“,Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 18 times

Malaska, Pentti and Ikka Virtanen. “Theory of futuribles.”cited 5 times

Gutierrez, Miguel Angel. “Futures studies glossary.”cited 43 times

Foresight Glossary and the Complex Systems Dynamicscited 7 times

Words more used in foresightcited 2 times

Hillmann, Karl-Heinz. “Sociology encyclopedic dictionary.”cited 12 times

Hevia Araugo, Oswaldo Ramón. “Building Scenarios.”cited 2 times

Miklos, Thomas and Ma. Elena Tello. “Foresight Planning.”cited 19 times

Ochoa Vargas, Gerardo. “Scenarios.”cited 2 times

Godet, Michel. “A Tool-Box for scenario planning”, Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 17 times