Scenario technique
Origin: Lat. scenarĭum, technĭcus, Gr. τεχνικός, de τέχνη
A planning methodology that explicitly addresses uncertainty about the future. This methodology allows planners to explicitly identify several alternative future states or scenarios. One can then consider prerequisites for or consequences of each alternative. In the technology road-mapping context, this approach provides a mechanism to deal with uncertainty in either product needs or technological developments. Process of Scenarios Techniques
- Task analysis — Goals - Strategies, Strengths - Weaknesses
- Influence analysis — Influence areas / Factors, System Dynamics
- Projections — Alternative projections and Clear projections
- Clustering alternatives — Consistency analysis
- Scenario interpretation — Scenario Developments and Visualisation
- Consequences analysis — Opportunities / Risks, Action items
- Wild card analysis — Analysis of Effects, Preventive/Counter Measures
- Scenario Transfer — Vision+Master Guideline, Monitoring System
Spanish: Técnica de escenario
Sources and references
- von Reibnitz, Ute Hélène, Scenarios-Techniquesview
- Fundamentals of Technology Roadmappingcited 8 times
- Barbieri Masini, Eleonora. “Why Future Studies.”cited 27 times
- United Nations Industrial Development Organization. “Foresight Methodologies Training Module 2.”cited 8 times
- Godet, Michel. “A Tool-Box for scenario planning”, Futures Research Methodology V.3 The Millennium Projectcited 17 times
- Gutierrez, Miguel Angel. “Futures studies glossary.”cited 43 times
Term connections
Enjoying this dictionary? Support The Millennium Project's work to keep it free.
Donate