Scenario matrix
Origin: Lat. scenarĭum matrix, -īcis
Enables the comparison of the scenarios in a set across specific elements. Scenario elements such as the economy, technology, health access and promotion are listed along the right side of the matrix, and each scenario is listed across the top. These elements and the forecasts for them in each scenario are sometimes grouped into the “macro environment” (e.g. society and the economy), the operating environment (e.g. health care delivery elements) and the organization. SCENARIO MATRIX SCENARIO MATRIX
| Scenarios IAF Archetypes | Scenario 1: “Best Guess Extrapolation” | Scenario 2: “Hard Times” | Scenario 3: “Visionary A” | Scenario 4: “Visionary B” |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macroenvironment Elements | Forecast | forecast | forecast | forecast |
| Operating Environment Elements | Forecast | forecast | forecast | forecast |
| Organization/topic Elements | Forecast | forecast | forecast | forecast |
| SCENARIO 1 | SCENARIO 2 | SCENARIO 3 | SCENARIO 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macro Environment | |||
| Element 1 | |||
| Element 2 | |||
| Element 3 | |||
| Operating Environment | |||
| Element 4 | |||
| Element 5 | |||
| Element 6 | |||
| Organization | |||
| Element 7 | |||
| Element 8 |
Spanish: Matríz de scenario
Sources and references
- Institute for Alternartive Futures “Wiser Futures Workshop Compendium: Using futures tools to better understand and create the future”cited 31 times
Term connections
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